GeoPredict

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June 2024

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?
Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics?
Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?
Added a short explanation to each of the predictions, detailing why a shift was noted in the community prediction percentage.
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders?

May 2024

Will a journalist or an opposition politician be charged in connection with the assassination attempt on Slovak PM Robert Fico, before June…
Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before June 1, 2024?
Starting this week, I added parameters to make sure that every question has a healthy amount of forecasters predicting on it.
Will China occupy Kinmen or Matsu before 2028?
The number on the top right corner of the graph is the real time community prediction score, and can therefore be different from the community…
Rafah, GBP vs USD, the Crimean Bridge, and Hezbollah
In every edition, you will get the question being asked, a Metaculus graph, the number of forecasters, the community prediction, as well as the change…

August 2023

ECOWAS in Niger, G20 Summit, and Saudi Arabia and Israel....
Thanks for reading GeoPredict!
China invades Taiwan, Libyan presidential election, and a bankrupt Palestinian Authority...
Thanks for reading GeoPredict!
Zaporizhzhia NPP, Argentinian elections....
Changes over the past week - 54% ➡️ 20%
Ukraine to retake Polohy, UK to re-apply to join EU....
Changes over the past week - 7.487 ➡️ 6.235
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