Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders?
No. of forecasters: 156
Community prediction: 39.0%
Weekly movement: -22.0%
Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?
No. of forecasters: 122
Community prediction: 60%
Weekly movement: -20.0%
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
No. of forecasters: 230
Community prediction: 40%
Weekly movement: +15.0%
Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027? (Kharkiv)
No. of forecasters: 95
Community prediction: 20%
Weekly movement: -12.0%
Will the European Union announce new tariffs or duties on imports of Chinese electric vehicles before July 5, 2024?
No. of forecasters: 58
Community prediction: 67.0%
Weekly movement: +10.0%