Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before June 1, 2024?
Starting this week, I added parameters to make sure that every question has a healthy amount of forecasters predicting on it. I also removed similar questions, mostly related to the ICC’s intention to issue warrants of Israeli leaders, and kept the one with the largest number of forecasters.
Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders?
No. of forecasters: 125
Community prediction: 60%
Weekly movement: +50%
Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?
No. of forecasters: 31
Community prediction: 40%
Weekly movement: -40%
Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before June 1, 2024?
No. of forecasters: 61
Community prediction: 7.0%
Weekly movement: -33.0%
Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027? (Sloviansk)
No. of forecasters: 71 (for Sloviansk)
Community prediction: 60%
Weekly movement: +21.0%
Will OPEC+ extend or expand its current 2.2 million barrel-per-day voluntary oil output cut following the OPEC+ meeting on June 1, 2024?
No. of forecasters: 48
Community prediction: 80%
Weekly movement: +20.0%