Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?
Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027? (Zaporizhzhia)
No. of forecasters: 92
Community prediction: 10%
Weekly movement: -15.0%
Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?
No. of forecasters: 156
Community prediction: 30%
Weekly movement: -12.0%
Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics?
No. of forecasters: 139
Community prediction: 75.0%
Weekly movement: -8.0%
If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will Brazil respond with military forces?
No. of forecasters: 23
Community prediction: 27.9%
Weekly movement: -7.5%
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035? (Iran)
No. of forecasters: 45
Community prediction: 55.9%
Weekly movement: +5.9%
Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?
No. of forecasters: 203
Community prediction: 10%
Weekly movement: +5.0%